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TRADE #43 - Buy WDMH (QQQ Jan 06 $34 Put) 1000s @ $3.50 in Roth IRA



I'm bottom-fishing again: with today's 2% jump in NASDAQ, I added 10 contracts of WDMH (QQQ Jan 06 $34 Put) at $3.50 into my Roth IRA account. Now that my bearish option plays (below table) are valuing at close to $8,800, I probably will not add more positions for a while.

    Quantity  Current Price  Cost Basis Gain/Loss % Strike Price Breakeven Price Current Stock Price Difference
.ZMFME MSFT Jan 05 $25 Put 1000  $      1.75  $      1.35 29.6%  $     25.00  $     23.65 26.16 -9.6%
.YWZMD QQQ Jan 06 $37 Put 600  $      4.80  $      5.23 -8.2%  $     37.00  $     31.77 36.01 -11.8%
.WDMH QQQ Jan 06 $34 Put 1000  $      3.50  $      3.54 -1.1%  $     34.00  $     30.46 36.01 -15.4%
.WDMG QQQ Jan 06 $33 Put 200  $      3.10  $      3.12 -0.6%  $     33.00  $     29.88 36.01 -17.0%

As shown in the above table, I'm counting on 12-17% drop of NASDAQ from the current value in the next 18 months to break even. I'm quite confident about these bets -- I'm very much convinced we will see some harsh reality in the months ahead.

As a final note, I am considering to sell to close my MSFT bearish put for January 2005 when the price is right. With less than 7 months in the contract, the time is not on my side.

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