Contributed by mm | January 9, 2004 05:08 PM
PST
Whitney Tilson explained why he thinks it is a scary time for stocks. His main worries:
- Benefits from low interest rates, tax cuts and increased government spending are almost over
- Consumer debt is rising over time and is a time bomb now.
- Latest employment figures are not promising.
- Trade and budget deficits; dollar declined to multi-year lows in foreign exchange.
- Stock valuations are far above historical averages.
And if this does not make you worry, check out this post from the RatcliffeBlog, which said "[i]nstead of a recovery, we're borrowing against future generations' earnings and home equity to preserve an illusion of prosperity."
I tend to agree it is time to play defensively.
What do you think of this post? Be the first to share your
opinions.
The Last Vigilante (February 04, 2004)
Bill Gross's monthly Investment Outlook is always informative and thoughtful; this month's issue "The Last Vigilante" is no exception. It can be summarized as follows:
Read
January 2004 Investment Outlook by Bill Gross (January 10, 2004)
I have become a loyal reader of Bill Gross's monthly Investment Outlook. This January issue is somewhat mind-boggling. It mainly talked about four observations of the current fixed income market and is best concluded in this paragraph: "That history points towards an environment of lower ... Read
2004 Investment Outlook (January 03, 2004)
USAToday summarizes how a dozen of Wall Street's top strategists look for stocks, interest rates and corporate earnings. Below is the prediction for S&P 500 target for 2004 year end. The entire forecast can be found in this table. Read
The Great Humiliator (January 01, 2004)
I don't usually enjoy reading Kenneth Fisher's column but his recent Forbes article The Great Humiliator is a fresh breeze. Ken wrote "[h]ow long should this bull market last? Until the last bear cries uncle." and said we will not see the end of the ... Read
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