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Contributed by mm | June 2, 2005 5:55 PM PST
Very unusual ... the yield curve will be almost flat if Fed keeps raising Fed rate. Many people are certainly playing with fire now, and the outcome does not look promising.
From Washington Post:
Mortgage rates are largely determined by the yield on the 10-year Treasury note. Last June, when the Fed's benchmark short-term rate was 1 percent, the 10-year yield was 4.69 percent and the average 30-year mortgage rate was 6.25 percent.
Since then, Fed officials have raised their benchmark federal funds rate, which is charged on overnight loans between banks, to 3 percent and indicated they plan to move it higher to keep inflation in check. But the 10-year yield has fallen below 4 percent, to 3.88 percent yesterday -- the lowest level since March of last year.
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Wanna Buy This House? Send Your Rsum (May 30, 2005)
All these mean the housing market is not only hot, but red hot. I firmly believe we are in the bubble, but it is very hard to call the top. In my hometown Shanghai, people would wait in the queue for two straight days just ...
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