March 26, 2005 08:01 AM PST
Neville is writing about predicting the markets. Are the markets predictable? What were people predicting in 1930 and 1940, and were those predictions accurate?
I was researching these questions and I came across a paper by Felix Stalder, a PhD Student at the University of Toronto, entitled The Nature of Financial Networks. It's an interesting paper about the markets and the history of globalization, among other things. Be sure to check out the section on the forecasting of markets.
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